The conclusion of the 2022 NFL regular season is hours away with Super Bowl 57 crowning a champion between the Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles. With the Chiefs’ Andy Reid facing the team he used to coach, Travis and Jason Kelce competing against each other and quarterbacks Patrick Mahomes and Jalen Hurts also making history, there is no shortage of story lines to monitor. (And don’t forget Rihanna performing at the halftime show … and all the commercials.)
Jarrett Bell: Chiefs, 27-23
There’s no way that Andy Reid loses to his former team. OK, sure, there’s a way, which would be reminiscent of Super Bowl 55, when the Tampa Bay Buccaneers punished Patrick Mahomes with a relentless defense. The Eagles defense has the pieces – starting up front and including Haason Reddick – to dominate against a quarterback nursing a sore ankle.
Yet Mahomes is back in the Super Bowl with a better O-line than the last time as he triggers the NFL’s No. 1 offense. And he still has that magic … and a certain tight end target (Travis Kelce) who probably owes his big brother (Chiefs Eagles center Jason Kelce). No, we can’t sleep on emerging Eagles star Jalen Hurts. But Super Bowl 57 will bring a different type of challenge in trying to outduel Mahomes.
Chris Bumbaca: Chiefs, 27-24
The health of Mahomes will be a determining factor. Even on one leg, he is the best player in football. Facing the Eagles pass rush will be a different type of challenge for the Kansas City front, which had the best pass block win rate during the regular season. The Eagles have been the top team in the NFL from start to finish, but the Chiefs are battle-tested. The Eagles have played in two straight postseason blowouts. By the time the big game arrives, it will be more than five weeks since they played in a close game. With two weeks to scheme against his old team, Reid will have plenty of time to figure out how to neutralize the Philadelphia pass rush with Mahomes’ ankle still hurting.
Rookie running back Isiah Pacheco is peaking at the right time and could find some room to run against the Eagles’ rush defense. Travis Kelce will be zeroed-in upon, but the game’s top tight end usually finds a way to produce. Hurts is dealing with a shoulder injury of his own. The Chiefs will have to step up against the run and make Hurts beat them with his arm.
Nate Davis: Chiefs, 27-23
Admittedly, I’m feeling a touch like the proverbial hater. In truth, I admire how consistently good Philadelphia has been nearly all season. Yet the Eagles have not been tested in the playoffs. Give them credit for their dominance, while rolling through an overmatched team and over another that was handcuffed at quarterback for essentially the entirety of the NFC championship game. What happens when Philly gets in a dogfight with a squad that can go toe-to-toe, one that has an elite quarterback in Patrick Mahomes – the type, save Aaron Rodgers in a subpar year, the Eagles really haven’t faced this season?
Mahomes may have a rusty wheel but even injured, he’s more of a known commodity than Philly counterpart Jalen Hurts, whose health remains a bit of a mystery given how circumstances have largely shielded him in postseason. Give me the known commodity.
Safid Deen: Chiefs, 30-24
The Eagles have been the most consistent team all season, making the most of their relatively easy road to the Super Bowl, but they have not faced a team like the Chiefs all season. Mahomes, Reid and the Chiefs will have two weeks to get healthy and will win their second Super Bowl title to solidify their position in NFL history as the mighty Chiefs dynasty.
Tyler Dragon: Chiefs, 28-26
The Eagles were the most complete and consistent team throughout the year. Philadelphia controls the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball. The Eagles running game and pass rush are going to cause the Chiefs problems. But the Chiefs had the best offensive line in the AFC all season, and Chris Jones and the defensive line are disruptive as well. The biggest difference between the two teams is Patrick Mahomes. The Chiefs have the best player on the field at the most impactful position.
If Mahomes’ ankle continues to improve and the Chiefs wide receivers can get healthier, I think Kansas City will walk away with its second Super Bowl title in four seasons. It’s a big if, although, Mahomes’ performance on a gimpy ankle in the AFC championship game was reminiscent of Michael Jordan’s flu game in the NBA Finals. It’s hard to count out Mahomes and the Chiefs with a Lombardi Trophy on the line.
Lorenzo Reyes: Eagles, 23-21
Philadelphia is built to grind out games in the playoffs and can beat opponents in multiple ways. It all starts up front with the offensive line. The Eagles have the most complete unit in the NFL and — with the emergence of Kenneth Gainwell — feature four players who can get in open space in the ground game. And though star receivers A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith have been relatively quiet in the playoffs, they are both capable of explosive plays down the field against the Kansas City secondary that sometimes yields big plays in the passing game.
On defense, the Eagles are weakest in the middle of the field at linebacker, where Travis Kelce can exploit gaps in coverage. But on the whole, the Philadelphia secondary should be well equipped to cover Kansas City’s receivers long enough for the Eagles pass rush, led by Reddick, to make Mahomes uncomfortable. The health of those Kansas City wide receivers will be a concern, though the time off should help mitigate the lack of depth the Chiefs had late in the AFC championship game because of injuries.
Super Bowl 2023 betting: Everything you need to know to bet Eagles-Chiefs
The Super Bowl is finally here as the AFC Champion Kansas City Chiefs square off against the NFC Champion Philadelphia Eagles. The Eagles are a slight favorite in the game, which features over 2,000 props from Caesars Sportsbook. Whether it’s the side, total or a squares game or prop BINGO, we have you covered. Here is everything you need to know about how to bet the game, our favorite plays and more.
Doug Kezirian is back with the info on what the sharps are doing for Super Bowl LVII, and the prop bets where he’s seeing the best prices.
Liz Loza is back with five props that pop, this time all about the effect that Travis and Jason Kelce will have on the Super Bowl LVII matchup between the Philadelphia Eagles and Kansas City Chiefs.
Play Super Bowl 2023 Bingo as the Philadelphia Eagles and Kansas City Chiefs face off in Super Bowl LVII, Sunday, February 12 at 6:30 p.m. ET. Print our set of 10 bingo cards to play along with friends and family.
Liz Loza offers her top five prop bets from a betting and fantasy perspective for Super Bowl LVII and includes a few extra bonus props at the end.
Our ESPN Fantasy Analysts break down which player props they believe are the most profitable for Super Bowl LVII.
Doug Kezirian gives his thoughts on fun props for Super Bowl Sunday, including the Kelce brothers, LeBron James and golf.
Here’s an updated breakdown of the most popular prop bets, broken down by tickets bought and by handle.
Our betting analysts provide their top plays, props and more for the Big Game.
Who does the legendary Swami see in his crystal ball as the team that will raise the Vince Lombardi Trophy on Sunday? All signs point to you clicking here to find out.
NFL writers, analysts and reporters take their best guesses on the Super Bowl LVII matchup. Plus, who is their favorite for MVP — Patrick Mahomes or Jalen Hurts?
David Purdum explores the history behind the same-game parlay and why it’s become one of the most popular ways to bet a sporting event.
Betting notes and trends on covers, overs, player props and more heading into Super Bowl LVII.
Hundreds of millions of dollars will be bet on Super Bowl LVII. David Purdum tracks the biggest bets to the wackiest wagers here.
Super Bowl LVII: The numbers you need to know today
Before the 6:30 PM kickoff, here are 25 news, notes, and storylines to follow in Super Bowl LVII:
• Jalen Hurts and Patrick Mahomes were both in the Top 3 of several key passing categories this season, including QB rating (Mahomes 105.2, Hurts 101.5), yards per attempt (Mahomes 8.1, Hurts 8.05), and TD/INT ratio (Hurts 3.67, Mahomes 3.42).
• Super Bowl LVII will feature the youngest QB matchup between Hurts (24 years, 189 days) and Mahomes (27 years, 148 days).
• The Eagles scored a franchise-record 477 points in 2022, including team records in total TDs (59), scrimmage TDs (57), and rushing TDs (32).
• The Eagles ranked first in the NFL defensively in sacks (70), passing yards allowed (179.8 per game), and yards per play allowed (4.78).
• The Eagles are the first NFL team to allow 7-or-fewer points multiple times in a single postseason since the 2000 Baltimore Ravens.
• The Eagles became the first team in NFL history to have four players with 10+ sacks in a single season, led by Haason Reddick, who had 16 in the regular season and added a franchise-record 3.5 in the playoffs.
• Philadelphia totaled the fourth-highest third-down conversion rate (45.9%), a franchise record.
• Miles Sanders rushed for a career-high 1,269 yards and was one of only three running backs to post 1,200+ rushing yards and 11+ rushing touchdowns.
• A.J. Brown (4th, franchise-record 1,496) and DeVonta Smith (9th, 1,196) both finished in the top 10 of receiving yards this season while becoming the first 1,000-yard receiving duo in franchise history.
• The Chiefs ranked first in average pass EPA (+0.22) this season. The Eagles ranked first in average run EPA (+0.13). Meanwhile, the Eagles’ defense was first on defense in average pass EPA allowed (-0.18).
• The Eagles ran the second-most plays out of shotgun (82%). The Chiefs were third.
• The Chiefs had pre-snap motion or shifts on 65% of offensive plays, fifth in the NFL. The Eagles were last with 36%.
• The Eagles were second in the NFL in pressure rate (33.3%), despite blitzing just 26% of the time (15th in the NFL). Even though Chiefs Defensive Coordinator Steve Spagnuolo comes from the Jim Johnson school of pressure, the Chiefs’ blitz rate was 19th in the league.
• The Eagles lined up in nickel at the fifth-highest rate in the league. The Chiefs used the third-most dime/6 DB packages.
• Chiefs defensive tackle Chris Jones had 6 QB pressures in the AFC Championship, his third most in a game this season. Since Week 10, Jones is first among NFL DTs with 44 QB pressures. Javon Hargrave is third with 38.
• The Eagles played a season-high 42.9 percent of man coverage in the NFC Championship win over the 49ers. Patrick Mahomes has thrown 21 more TD passes vs. zone coverage than any quarterback since 2018.
• Mahomes threw a league-high 16 touchdowns to the middle-third of the field this season. The Eagles have not allowed a touchdown in this area since Week 13 against the Titans.
• Mahomes threw 31 touchdowns on passes under 10 air yards this season.
• Travis Kelce led all tight ends in routes (281), catches (54), and receiving yards (662) out of the slot this season. Kelce has 12 touchdowns this season, including playoffs, against man coverage, five more than any other player.
• The Eagles and the Chiefs finished tied for the best record in the NFL in the regular season (14-3).
*These numbers were provided by the Eagles media relations department or NFL’s Next Gen Stats and Media Research.